Texas Manufactured Housing Market Report August 2025 - Sales Data & Analysis

August Preliminary Data

New manufactured home sales in August titled to date are up a seasonally-adjusted +11% from the previous month and are up +44.1% over August of 2024. The sequential comparison is not as juiced as the July totals were across both the early and current report releases. The year-over-year numbers for August are starting in the same range of increase as we saw last month with July. Those year-over-year gains were ultimately cut in half with the additional month of data, but expect August to be up over 2024 next month too.

It is important to note that year-over-year gains until July of 2026 will likely be boosted by the TDHCA issued clarification on the date of sale for title applications to be the later of the funding or delivery date.

This shift should lower the amount of title applications submitted after the 60-day window and will take time to be learned by our forecasting models. The model trained on data before the regulatory shift, opens at 1,832 (+/- 82) for total new homes sold in August based on sales titled to date. That sales total would be a full 217 homes above the 2020 peak for August sales. The under is a very safe bet.

July Data

New home sales for July titled to date are up a seasonally adjusted +22.3% from the previous month and are up +21.4% on the raw total from July of 2024. The additional month of titles reduced the year-over-year outperformance from the +43.6% we saw with last month’s early look, but the speed of titling has changed dramatically and department clarification on the date of ownership transfer to use when submitting title work have both moved to shift the data into new seasonal patterns that will take time to fully recognize.

The updated forecast for total new homes sold in July moved down with the additional titling data to 1,476 (+/- 82). The forecasted total would put July 2025 sales on pace with 2019 and quite a bit higher than the previous three years of July sales. Until the model has had time to incorporate the shift in titling cadence, the under is going to be a very safe bet.

Annual Totals

New home sales for 2025 are now up +8% for all retail sales titled through this point in the calendar. Multi-section sales are currently up +8% and single-section moved into positive territory up +0.1%. The increased speed in title work submission is likely pushing year-over-year sales up some, but the effects should not be as strong as we’re seeing in the individual month figures as sales that otherwise would have been dated earlier in the year when sales agreements were signed are now coming in with a later sales date of when the transfer of ownership actually occurred.

The forecast for new home sales on the year moved up to 16,646 (+/- 656). The apparent over performance in August sales is doing a lot of work to boost expected sales across the remainder of 2025 in the model, so like the forecasts for monthly sales, take the under.

Install counties with the most additional new home placements over 2024 are Bastrop, Tarrant, Dallas, Caldwell, and Smith.

Install counties with the biggest decline in new home placements from 2024 are Harris, Fannin, Travis, Hutchinson, and Carson.

Mailing address cities with the most new home placements over 2024 are Dale, Burleson, New Braunfels, Crowley, and Wilmer.

Mailing address cities with the largest decline in new home placements from 2024 are Houston, Del Valle, Fritch, Pearland, Temple, and Dickinson.

Revised Monthly Totals

Because titles continue to come in for past sales months, here are all prior months for the year and what their current sales totals are at this report release.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

Charts

The first chart shows monthly sales totals for each year with only titles processed through 10-17.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17.

Here are the cumulative sales totals for each year with only titles processed through 10-17.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17.

This chart is all sales data in the series to date with single-section and multi-section home totals plotted.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

This chart tracks the difference between shipments and sales each month. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

Here are the 12-month moving averages for shipments and retail sales through June. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month, but the last several months will move up as title work continues to be processed.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

This chart displays the annual median for the number of days between a home’s date of sale and it’s date of manufacture. Prior to 2/22/21 this chart included sales from manufacturers to communities, it now only includes sales from licensed retailers.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

The final chart is for all used monthly retail sales data. The outliers are typically the result of community purchases were titles move from the previous to the new MHC owner.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-10-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

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