Texas Manufactured Housing Sales Market Analysis

December Preliminary Data

New manufactured home sales in December titled to date are down a seasonally-adjusted -8.4% from the previous month’s sales, and are down -8.8% from December of 2023.

The forecast for total new homes sold in December based on sales titled to date starts at 1,093 (+/- 69). The upper bound of the prediction interval is 171 homes below the 1,333 shipment total for the month, so aggregate inventory increased in December.

November Data

New home sales for November titled to date are up a seasonally adjusted +4.4% from the previous month and are up +6.4% on the raw total from November of 2023.

Harris and Liberty counties ended up in the top two spots for new home installations this month, as Wichita, Bexar, Hunt and Bastrop all moved up above Montgomery and Ector counties.

The updated forecast for total new homes sold in November moved up with the additional titling data and is now at 1,204 (+/- 69).

October and November continue to track slightly ahead of 2023, so if that holds we should see the 12-month moving average for retail sales start to move sideways for those months after moving down since April before that.

Annual Totals

New home sales for 2024 are now down just -1.0% from 2023 for all retail sales titled through this point in the calendar. Multi-section sales continue on a record pace, but single-section sales remain at their lowest sales total since 2016.

At this point in the calendar for titles issued 2024 sales remain ahead of 2018 and are gaining on 2023 sales but still trail 2019-2023.

The forecast for new home sales on the year moved up to 15,982 (+/- 84).

Install counties with the most additional new home placements over last year are Hunt, Smith, Ector, Tarrant, Wichita, and Waller.

Install counties with the biggest decline in new home placements from last year are Harris, Hays, Hidalgo, Travis, and Montgomery.

Mailing address cities with the most new home placements over last year are Greenville, Tyler, Burleson, Odessa, and Fritch.

Mailing address cities with the largest decline in new home placements from last year are Kyle, Austin, Conroe, Katy, and Spring.

Revised Monthly Totals

Because titles continue to come in for past sales months, here are all prior months for the year and what their current sales totals are at this report release.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

Charts

The first chart shows monthly sales totals for each year with only titles processed through 2-14.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14.

Here are the cumulative sales totals for each year with only titles processed through 2-14.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14.

This chart is all sales data in the series to date with single-section and multi-section home totals plotted.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

This chart tracks the difference between shipments and sales each month. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

Here are the 12-month moving averages for shipments and retail sales through October. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month, but the last several months will move up as title work continues to be processed.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

This chart displays the annual median for the number of days between a home’s date of sale and it’s date of manufacture. Prior to 2/22/21 this chart included sales from manufacturers to communities, it now only includes sales from licensed retailers.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

The final chart is for all used monthly retail sales data. The outliers are typically the result of community purchases were titles move from the previous to the new MHC owner.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-02-14. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

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